{"id":6986,"date":"2016-09-19T22:57:53","date_gmt":"2016-09-20T03:57:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/?p=6986"},"modified":"2016-09-19T22:57:53","modified_gmt":"2016-09-20T03:57:53","slug":"stacked-oil-and-gas-make-permian-deals-costly-in-spite-of-rout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/stacked-oil-and-gas-make-permian-deals-costly-in-spite-of-rout\/","title":{"rendered":"Stacked Oil and Gas Make Permian Deals Costly in Spite of Rout"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Oil prices are depressed, but Texas shale has never been more valuable.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">A recent spate of land deals in the sprawling Permian Basin illustrates a counter-intuitive trend: Real estate in the country\u2019s most active oil field is even more expensive today than it was before commodity prices crashed.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">QEP Resources Inc. agreed to pay a price that works out to close to $60,000 per net acre in June for a slice of the Permian, in the basin\u2019s priciest land deal on record.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">That\u2019s more than double the average $30,000 per net acre explorers paid for Permian land during the first nine months of 2014, when oil topped $100 a barrel, according to data from Citigroup Inc. Oil has been hovering at $45 to $50 per barrel since mid-August.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Over the past few months, at least four other explorers agreed to pay more than $30,000 per net acre to expand in the Permian: Concho Resources Inc., Parsley Energy Inc., SM Energy Co., and Silver Run Acquisition Corp., according to data compiled by Bloomberg.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cThe valuations are pretty lofty,\u201d said Bryan Lastrapes, managing director at Moelis &amp; Co. \u201cWhen you look at the prices being paid for a flowing barrel, they are higher than when oil was at $100.\u201d<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Unusual Geography<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">The obvious question: With oil so much cheaper today, why has Permian land become so pricey? There are a few explanations. The first comes down to the same reason a dingy is more valuable on a sinking ship.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cIt\u2019s about scarcity,\u201d said Bruce Cox, global head of energy acquisitions and divestitures with Credit Suisse Group AG.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">The Permian is one of the few places in the U.S. where drilling remains profitable amid low prices, thanks to its unusual geography, in which different layers of oil- and gas-soaked rock are stacked like layers in a cake, he said. An explorer can drill multiple horizontal wells after digging straight down.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cWhat you can\u2019t find in most plays is the Permian hydrocarbon column,\u201d Cox said. \u201cCompanies can drill two to four times as many wells over a 10-year development period\u201d in the Permian than in other basins.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>QEP Rationale<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">This is a key part of the rationale QEP used to justify the price it agreed to pay for the 9,400 net acres in the Permian in June.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">The company told investors it sees a chance to drill more than 400 horizontal wells along four different benches of shale, more than a half-mile down, where it has already determined there is oil. It sees additional upside potential drilling riskier, wildcat wells on three other benches. So it isn\u2019t buying just one field, but as many as seven.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">That deal also addresses a perpetual critique from investors that QEP isn\u2019t big enough in the Permian, by increasing its position there by 50 percent, Richard Doleshek, QEP\u2019s chief financial officer, said in August.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cFrom a dollar-per-acre standpoint, we heard a lot of conversation about how that was a big number,\u201d Doleshek said during a presentation at an oil and gas conference sponsored by Enercom Inc., according to a transcript compiled by Bloomberg.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cWhen you look at it on a target basis, it\u2019s relatively reasonable,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s pristine acreage.\u201d<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Lower Costs<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Another factor driving up Permian land prices is the fact that it has some of the lowest break-even costs in the world. The area has more than a half-dozen fields where drilling can stay profitable even when oil falls below $30 a barrel, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">The oil rout has set off a land grab for that reason, said Ron Gajdica, co-head of energy acquisitions and divestitures with Citigroup.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cWhen oil prices were high, there was a high supply of acreage with economic drilling opportunities,\u201d he said. \u201cNow, in a $40 to $50 oil price environment, acreage with economic locations is scarcer. There are only a limited amount of opportunities and many of them are in the Permian.\u201d<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">A couple of other things are driving up the price of Permian land. First, development costs have come down sharply during the downturn, thanks to lower service costs, technological advances and more efficient techniques, Gajdica said. That means explorers can justify paying higher prices for land.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Second, Wall Street is helping the trend. Publicly traded Permian explorers such as Concho and Parsley trade at a premium to other shale players. They paid for their recent acquisitions with stock. Since their currency is worth more, they can afford to pay up.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">In addition, other explorers with operations elsewhere, such as QEP and SM, saw their share prices spike after striking deals in the Permian, which could spur even more dealmaking in the area.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u201cThe market tends to respond favorably when these Permian deals are announced,\u201d Gajdica said.<\/span><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/20-Septiembre-shutterstock_390760858.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-6987 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/20-Septiembre-shutterstock_390760858.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/20-Septiembre-shutterstock_390760858.jpg 600w, https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/20-Septiembre-shutterstock_390760858-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/20-Septiembre-shutterstock_390760858-450x300.jpg 450w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/h2>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Copyright: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2016-09-19\/stacked-oil-and-gas-make-permian-deals-costly-in-spite-of-rout\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg<\/a><\/span><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil prices are depressed, but Texas shale has never been more valuable. A recent spate of land deals in the sprawling Permian Basin illustrates a counter-intuitive trend: Real estate in the country\u2019s most active oil field is even more expensive today than it was before commodity prices crashed. QEP Resources Inc. agreed to pay a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6988,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1017],"tags":[426,679,208,1067,302,1066,1068],"class_list":["post-6986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-barrel","tag-gas","tag-oil","tag-oil-barrel","tag-oil-prices","tag-texas-shale","tag-us-drilling"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6986","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6986"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6986\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6988"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6986"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6986"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nrgibroker.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6986"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}