NAFTA negotiations enter critical week with the U.S. still pushing a hard line

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From: Financial Post / Thomson Reuters / Veronica Gomez and Anthony Esposito / May 7

 

Sources close to the talks have suggested there is a creeping feeling of uncertainty and pessimism because of gridlock on the most critical issues

WASHINGTON — Talks to update the NAFTA trade deal enter a make-or-break week on Monday, as ministers from Canada, the United States and Mexico seek to resolve an impasse in key areas before elections in Mexico and the United States complicate the process.

Discussions in Washington will center on rules of origin that govern what percentage of a car needs to be built in the North American Free Trade Agreement region to avoid tariffs, the dispute-resolution mechanism and U.S. demands for a sunset clause that could automatically kill the trade deal after five years.

U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer warned last week that if the talks took too long, approval by the Republican-controlled Congress may be on “thin ice.” The aim is to complete a vote during the “lame-duck” period before a new Congress is seated after November’s congressional elections.

Mexico holds its presidential election on July 1 and the front-runner, leftist Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, says he wants a hand in redrafting NAFTA if he wins.

“We have a window of opportunity in the next two or three weeks … considering two things: where the talks are now and the political calendars” in Mexico and the United States, said Moises Kalach, head of the international negotiating arm of Mexico’s CCE business lobby, which is leading the private sector’s involvement in the talks.

Sources close to the talks have suggested there is a creeping feeling of uncertainty and pessimism going into the new round because of gridlock on the most critical issues.

At the heart of the NAFTA revamp is U.S. President Donald Trump’s desire to retool rules for the automotive sector in order to try to bring jobs and investment back north from lower-cost Mexico. Despite months of talks on the issue, the sides remain far apart.

A round of talks among Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland, Mexican Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo and Lighthizer scheduled for last week was cancelled to allow consultations with the Mexican car industry and for the American to go on a trade mission to China.

Mexico’s main auto sector lobby has described the latest U.S. demands, which include raising the North American content to 75 per cent from the current 62.5 per cent over a period of four years for light vehicles, as “not acceptable.”

“The positive momentum on the rules of origin appears to be counterbalanced by the opposite movement on labour wage treatment proposals,” said Flavio Volpe, president of Canada’s Automotive Parts Manufacturers Association.

The U.S. proposal also would require that 40 per cent of the value of light-duty passenger vehicles and 45 per cent for pickup trucks be built in areas with wages of US$16 per hour or higher.

That is seen as a hard pill to swallow for Mexico, where the Ann Arbor, Michigan-based Center for Automotive Research has estimated auto assembly workers average under US$6 an hour, and auto parts plants workers average less than US$3 an hour.

Critics also say it would create a bureaucratic nightmare of paperwork.

 

From: Financial Post / Thomson Reuters / Veronica Gomez and Anthony Esposito / May 7

 

 

Qatar Petroleum to push ahead with expansion despite Gulf crisis

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From: REUTERS NEWS AGENCY / 8 Mayo

 

State energy giant continue with expansion strategy to be on par with oil majors, despite Gulf crisis embargo.

State energy giant Qatar Petroleum (QP) will push ahead with its production expansion and foreign asset acquisition strategy to be on par with oil majors, despite a regional political and economic embargo on Doha, its chief executive said.

Qatar is one of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries’ smallest producers but is also one of the most influential players in the global liquefied natural gas (LNG) market due to its annual production of 77 million tonnes.

“We are in Mexico, we are in Brazil, we are contemplating investing in the US in many areas, in shale gas, in conventional oil. We are looking at many things,” al-Kaabi said in an interview at QP’s headquarters in Doha.

“We are looking very critically at the United States because we have a position there. We have the Golden Pass that we are investing in,” he said.

Qatar Petroleum is the majority owner of the Golden Pass LNG terminal in Texas, with ExxonMobil Corp and ConocoPhillips holding smaller stakes.

Al-Kaabi said “depending on the project’s cost and feasibility” he expects to take a final investment decision on expanding the Golden Pass LNG by the end of the year.

“I’m not in the business of infrastructure. I’m not going to have a liquefaction plant only. It has to be something that will be linked with an upstream business that we would buy in the US so we need to be naturally hedged,” he added.

To maintain its dominance in the US and Australia, QP is cutting costs at home and seeking to expand overseas through joint ventures with international companies.

“We will always go with one of our international partners that we have business with here in Qatar,” al-Kaabi said. “Some of our partners want to divest, some of our partners want to acquire something together.”

QP is focusing on other opportunities in Mexico, Latin America, Africa and in the Mediterranean, he said. QP is also looking to enter Mozambique, where Exxon and Eni operate, he added.

Al-Kaabi said the share of overseas upstream production will be “a good portion” in the long term, but it will not compare with its share at home.

“Our strategy says we are going to expand in upstream business with a little bit of downstream that will be connected to some other businesses that we are doing and a few one-off deals in petrochemicals,” he said.

 

We are in Mexico, we are in Brazil, we are contemplating investing in the US in many areas

                                                                        SAAD AL-KAABI

 

From: REUTERS NEWS AGENCY / 8 Mayo

 

La Administración de Riesgos en el Sector Hidrocarburos

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Uno de los nuevos órganos reguladores que surgieron con la Reforma Energética fue la Agencia Nacional de Seguridad Industrial y Protección del Medio Ambiente del Sector Hidrocarburos (ASEA), con el objetivo de promover la cultura de la previsión entre los regulados, por ello, el 13 de mayo de 2016, se publicaron en el Diario Oficial de la Federación, las Disposiciones Administrativas de carácter general que establecen los lineamientos para la conformación, implementación y autorización del Sistema de Administración de Seguridad Industrial, Seguridad Operativa y Protección Ambiental (SASISOPA).

El SASISOPA es un conjunto de elementos interrelacionados y documentados cuyo propósito es prevenir, controlar y mitigar una instalación o un conjunto de ellas en materia de seguridad industrial, seguridad operativa y protección ambiental.

Su objetivo primordial es mitigar el riesgo inherente a las instalaciones y actividades del sector hidrocarburos, a fin de evitar accidentes y con ello garantizar la seguridad de las personas, los bienes y el medio ambiente.

Tomando en consideración que las empresas no empiezan de cero en la conformación del sistema de administración, se estableció la obligación de elaborar un Documento Puente, en el que conste el estudio de correspondencia de los elementos del sistema de administración de cada empresa con los establecidos en el artículo 13 de la Ley de la ASEA, para estar en posibilidad de conformar, implementar y obtener la autorización del SASISOPA.

Lo anterior, permite retomar las medidas previas y complementarlas con las políticas establecidas por la ASEA, para lograr la uniformidad en el sector.

Uno de los aspectos más importantes para la conformación del SASISOPA es la identificación de peligros y análisis de riesgos, para definir las medidas de prevención, control y mitigación, así como la valuación de incidentes, accidentes y pérdidas esperadas en los distintos escenarios de riesgo, en función de las consecuencias que esos riesgos representan en la población, medio ambiente, instalaciones y edificaciones comprendidas en el perímetro de las instalaciones industriales y en las inmediaciones.

La identificación de riesgos y la valuación de incidentes y accidentes son componentes fundamentales para tomar medidas preventivas y determinar cuáles serán los mecanismos correctivos en caso de que se llegara a materializar el riesgo.

En este punto, la contratación de los seguros es indispensable, pues una vez identificado y valuado el riesgo, se podrán contratar los seguros adecuados y suficientes para transferir el riesgo y con ello evitar que la empresa pueda ver afectadas sus finanzas por la reparación de los daños ocasionados por un siniestro.

En NRGI Broker, somos expertos en seguros para el Sector Hidrocarburos. Acércate a nosotros, con gusto te atenderemos.

 

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Mexico Opens Last Round Of Oil Bidding Before Election

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From: Oil Price / Oxford Business Group / 28 April 2017

 

The latest round of open bidding for exploration rights in Mexico’s energy sector received mixed interest, with two further rights sales to take place later in the year.

Of the 35 shallow offshore blocks on offer in the March 27 auction, 16 were sold, with the strongest interest seen in blocks in the Sureste Basin – in the south-eastern portion of the Gulf of Mexico – where all eight offerings found buyers.

Mexico’s state-owned oil producer, Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex), won seven of the blocks on offer, one in its own right and six more in partnership with overseas energy firms.

Fourteen oil majors were pre-qualified to bid alongside 22 consortia. France’s Total was the biggest winner in the Sureste Basin, coming away with the largest share of three blocks coverin­­g a total of 2342 sq km. It received two of these as part of a consortium with Pemex, and one with BP and Pan American.

The Ministry of Energy estimates that developing and operating the 16 blocks will require investment of $8.6 billion over the lifetime of the deposits.

Related: How High Can Trump Push Oil Prices?

Overall response to the auctions was slightly muted, with local and international majors showing some caution when making offers, partly due to the upcoming presidential election in July 2018, which has sparked concerns about potential changes to energy sector policy and rising supply in the market.

Auctions for shale deposits set for September

Indeed, the March auction was the first of up to three rights sales to be staged this year, with the remaining two land bids scheduled for late July and early September. The former will cover a total of 37 contractual areas in Burgos, Tampico-Misantla-Veracruz and the Sureste Basin.

The September round of bidding will be particularly notable, as it will be the first time that development rights for shale deposits have been auctioned off in Mexico.

Depleting natural gas reserves and high potential for shale – the country has 545trn cu feet of technically recoverable sources of shale gas, according to the World Resources Institute – have driven Mexico to accelerate development of the industry.

Early last month the energy sector regulator, the National Hydrocarbons Commission (Comisión Nacional de Hidrocarburos, CNH), called for bids on nine blocks in the Burgos Basin – located in the state of Tamaulipas, in the north-west of the country – to be auctioned off in September.

The blocks contain an estimated 1.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe), and winning bidders will have the right to conduct exploratory work for conventional oil and gas, as well as any shale deposits identified.

Energy reform supports private sector development

The successive rounds of auctions for exploration and production rights are the keystone of Mexico’s energy reform policy. Launched in 2013, the reforms ended Pemex’s upstream and downstream monopoly, and offer the country the potential to generate $1trn of foreign direct investment by 2040, according to the Mexican Association of Hydrocarbons Companies.

 

From: Oil Price / Oxford Business Group / 28 April 2017

 

 

 

 

Mexican Oil Giant Pemex Seeks Partners to Drill in 7 Southern Areas

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FROM: Sputnik News / 27 April 2017

 

MEXICO CITY (Sputnik) – Mexico’s state oil giant Pemex is looking for partners in joint ventures that will drill at seven onshore areas in the country’s south, the national hydrocarbons authority said Thursday.

Contracts for drilling in the states of Veracruz, Chiapas and Tabasco will be signed for a period of 35 to 40 years with a possibility of a ten-year extension, according to the National Hydrocarbons Commission.

Mexico has been overhauling its energy sector since late 2013. The reform ended almost 80 years of Pemex’s monopoly by allowing foreign investments and contracts with private businesses.

 

FROM: Sputnik News / 27 April 2017