For workers laboring on top of tall structures, the ability to self-rescue could mean the difference between life and death.
While transportation incidents represented the largest cause of U.S. workplace deaths, workers also face serious threats from falling. Fourteen percent, or 660, of the 4,821 U.S. worker fatalities in 2014 resulted from falls to a lower level of a facility, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Saint Paul, Minn.-based 3M is seeking to address this risk with its new line of fall protection products, including a safety harness, personal protection equipment, fall protection devices for tools and the latest ‘self-rescue device.
Being suspended in a harness puts pressure on the legs and can cause suspension trauma. This trauma can render them unconscious, making a rescue difficult, Steve Kosch, global product manager of 3M’s confined space and rescue division, told Rigzone in an interview at the Offshore Technology Conference earlier this month in Houston. The self-rescue device not only allows a trapped worker to free themselves; if they’ve already passed out, an extended pole can be used to unhook the carabiner and rescue them from heights.
“You don’t have to be at extreme heights to hurt yourself,” Kosch said. “Most countries, including the United States, require some kind of fall protection for six feet and higher.”
The number of workers who perished in a fall in 2014 was 11 percent higher than the total deaths by falls in 2013. In the 545 cases where the height of the fall was known, nearly two out of every three were falls from 20 feet or less, according to BLS.
The number of fatalities in the oil and gas extraction, mining and quarrying industry sector grew 18 percent to 183 in 2014 from 2013. The fatal injury rate in this sector also increased to 14.2 per 100,000 full-time equivalent workers. The number of fatal injuries in the oil and gas extraction industries reached 144 in 2014, a new high for the group.
The self-rescue device is attached to the dorsal webbing of the user’s harness, Kosch explained. Normal fall arrest equipment, such as a lanyard or self-retracting device, is attached to the D-ring on the self-rescue. If the worker falls, the lanyard or self-retracting device will arrest the fall. The person can then perform self-rescue by pulling up on the red tab on the release cord shoulder strap to expose the red pull handle. The worker then grasps the red pull handle and pull the release cord firmly to release the D-ring and start the descent. After they land on the ground and the release cord is pulled, the weight of the user pulls rope from the spool, which passes through the breaking system. The speed is controlled by the brake.
The device is not intended to replace existing rig scape systems that are required by American Petroleum Institute Association standard 54. Kosch noted that the Occupational Health and Safety Administration requires all employers to have a rescue plan in place when people are working at height and the risk of a fall exists. The device is intended for use by workers at height within a 100-foot distance from a lower platform or ground.
The self-rescue device was acquired by 3M as part of its acquisition last year of Capital Safety. 3M first entered the fall protection business eight years ago with its acquisition of Aearo Technologies Inc. Aearo operated SafeWaze, a fall protection company.
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/shutterstock_1867669191-e1463420957890.jpg
133
200
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-05-16 15:48:272016-08-21 20:20:37Device Offers Self-Rescue Capability For Oil, Gas WorkersOil prices ended steady on Friday after hitting 2016 highs but finished April trading about 20 percent higher, with Brent crude having its best monthly gain in seven years. A weaker dollar and optimism that a global oil glut will ease have lifted crude futures by more than $20 a barrel since they plumbed 12-year lows below $30 in the first quarter. Brent futures settled just a penny lower at $48.13 a barrel, after reaching a 2016 peak at $48.50. It rose 21.5 percent in April, its largest monthly advance since May 2009. U.S. crude futures closed 11 cents lower at $45.92 a barrel, after hitting a year-to-date high at $46.78. It gained 20 percent in April, the biggest monthly gain in a year.
With prices less than $5 away from $50 a barrel, investment bank Jefferies said the market “is coming into better balance” and would flip into undersupply in the second half of the year. But others warned that the rally was driven by investors holding large speculative positions, while oil stockpiles were still high, with a Reuters survey showing OPEC output in April rising to its most in recent history. “The issue is that we haven’t seen price rallies … correlate with fundamentals,” said Hamza Khan, senior commodity strategist at ING. “The fundamentals – high stocks, high production – haven’t changed.” Technical analysts said crude could cruise to $50 a barrel but stiffer resistance before $55 could spark profit-taking on the market’s biggest rebound in two years. Analysts polled by Reuters raised their average forecast for Brent in 2016 to $42.30 per barrel, the second consecutive month of increases.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch said in a note that “non-OPEC oil supply is indeed hanging off a cliff”, and estimated that global output would contract year-on-year in April or May for the first time since 2013. The OPEC survey aside, Saudi oil output was expected to edge up by 350,000 barrels per day to around 10.5 million bpd, sources told Reuters, as tankers filled with unsold oil floated at sea seeking buyers. The discount in spot U.S. crude to the next trading month meanwhile whittled to its smallest since January, reducing the advantages of storing oil in the United States for later delivery. (Additional reporting by Libby George and Karolin Schaps in LONDON and Henning Gloystein in SINGAPORE; editing by David Gregorio and Marguerita Choy)
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/shutterstock_2197866611-e1462230058678.jpg
133
200
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-05-02 18:01:242016-08-21 20:25:53Oil Ends Steady Near $50; Best Monthly Gain in Brent in 7 yearsByron Energy is pleased to provide an update on the Byron Energy SM71 #1 oil and gas discovery well located in the Gulf of Mexico in South Marsh Island Block 71 (‘SM71’).
Since the last report, on 27 April 2016, the well has been deepened, to the predrill planned total depth of 7,477 feet measured depth/6,915 feet true vertical depth and wireline logs have been run over the deeper portion of the well.
The processed open hole porosity logs from this deepened section of the well indicate the presence of a very high porosity gas or gas condensate reservoir from 7,212 feet to 7,226 feet measured depth. A 5” liner will now be run and cemented in place over the deeper portion of the SM71 #1 well.
As previously reported, the SM71 #1 well encountered 132 feet of TVT net oil pay in the I3 Sand, J Sand and D5 Sands. The final, processed version of the logs run over these three sands has now been received and confirm the previously reported net TVT pay count. Additionally, Isotube sample analysis indicates the likely presence of light, sweet crude oil from all three sand intervals.
Current operations are preparing to run 5″ liner over the deeper portion of the well before suspending the well for future production. It is expected that the rig will be demobilised within 10 days after mud line suspension operations are completed.
Byron’s CEO, Maynard Smith said:
‘We are very pleased to encounter our fourth hydrocarbon interval in this wellbore. This is the first time in my career I have seen four sands trap hydrocarbons stratigraphically in one well bore. Every pre-drill target sand, both primary and secondary, has been found to have hydrocarbons. These stratigraphic traps were found using a high resolution second generation Reverse Time Seismic Migration (RTM) and in conjunction with a very advanced seismic inversion model. To further enhance and fine tune our inversion model, we acquired acoustic shear wave data overall objective sands in this wellbore. This data will be key to understanding the seismic responses in both hydrocarbon and wet sands in the area. The shear log in our well is the first shear wave data collected in over 320 wells drilled thus far on the SM71 dome where 117 million barrels and 377 BCF of gas has been produced. We believe this information will give Byron a significant advantage in exploring for and exploiting other stratigraphic traps on our blocks and other blocks on the dome. We are immediately commencing plans for future production facilities and pipelines in order to shorten the time to production as much as possible.’
The SM71 #1 well is the second well to be drilled as part of Byron’s farm-out to Otto Energy, announced on 11 December 2015.
Byron, through its wholly owned subsidiary Byron Energy Inc. (the operator), currently has a 100% working interest and an 81.25% net revenue interest in SM71, located offshore Louisiana, 250 km southwest of New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, in water depth of approx. 131 feet (40 metres). Because the SMI71 #1 well has been drilled to the earning depth Otto has now earned the right to elect to earn a 50% working interest in the SM70 and SM71 blocks and has confirmed it will exercise its right. Consequently, Byron’s working and net revenue interests will be reduced by 50%, to 50% and 40.625% respectively.
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/shutterstock_1885517361-e1462229337911.jpg
113
200
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-05-02 17:49:222016-08-21 20:28:44Byron Energy encounters further hydrocarbons in the SM71-1 well in Gulf of MexicoU.S. economic conditions are “mostly favorable” yet the Federal Reserve remains cautious in raising interest rates because threats loom, New York Fed President William Dudley said on Monday.
Dudley, a permanent voter on rates and a close ally of Fed Chair Janet Yellen, repeated his views in a speech, saying “policy adjustments are likely to be gradual and cautious, as we continue to face significant uncertainties and the headwinds to growth from the financial crisis have not fully abated.”
Addressing a conference at the New York Fed, he repeated he was confident that too-low inflation would rise to a 2 percent goal over the next few years, and that “economic conditions have finally warranted the start of U.S. monetary policy normalization.”
The Fed raised rates modestly from near zero in December, its first policy tightening in nearly a decade. Most economists predict it will move again in June.
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/shutterstock_3945474371-e1461005616730.jpg
163
200
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-04-18 13:56:462016-08-21 20:32:42U.S. economy looks good but Fed remains cautious: DudleyNew Climate Economy report sets out how Multilateral Development Banks have a crucial role to play in mobilising clean energy investment
The New Climate Economy (NCE) group has this month published a major new report detailing the crucial role development banks need to play in ramping up clean energy investment in developing countries.
The coalition of 20 countries, chaired by former Mexican President Felipe Calderón and Lord Nicholas Stern, has previously said that investments in clean energy are one of the biggest steps that can be taken to close the so-called ’emissions gap’.
By boosting investment to $1tr a year by 2030 yearly greenhouse emissions could be reduced by to 7.5 Gt CO2e, the new report said – an amount bigger than the annual emissions of the United States. Such deep emissions reductions would go a long way towards closing the gap between current projections and the level of emissions cuts needed to stand a reasonable chance of keeping global warming below 2C
However, the new report warns delivering a sharp increase in clean energy investment will require multilateral development banks (MDBs) to play an increasingly active role in supporting the mass deployment of renewable energy in emerging and developing economies.
1.- Development banks are ideal catalysts for clean energy investment
Clean energy had a record year in 2015, attracting $329bn in global investment. However, this is still far short of what is needed both to limit global warming and provide energy access to the 1.1 billion people who still lack it.
MDBs can leverage up to 20 times the amount of money they invest, the report calculates, meaning a big boost in their spending would have a catalytic effect on private sector investment.
2.- MDBs are well positioned to take on risks
While renewables are increasingly competitive in many developing markets with more investment now going into emerging markets than established ones, there are still risks that come with investment in these markets. Exchange rate risks, political risks and construction risk, all of which are higher than in OECD countries, are just some of the ways investors can be deterred from otherwise attractive clean energy projects.
However, since MDBs have a specific remit to promote development in the countries where they work, they are well positioned to take on the risks that other foreign investors may not be willing to shoulder. “They all have a public mandate to enable development globally, and from an energy perspective that is both scaling up energy and making it low carbon at the same time in the next 15 years,” Ilmi Granoff, co-author of the report and senior research associate and the Overseas Development Institute, tells BusinessGreen. “It’s making sure that those risks are addressed for clean energy, and relying on some of the older and new tools to scale up clean energy investments as the core of their energy strategy.”
3.- Co-operation with other players is key
This doesn’t mean that development banks will be taking on all the responsibility alone – a key message from the New Climate Economy is how cooperation between MDBs, governments, and the private sector can allow new projects to be considered that may be too risky for one player to take on alone. Meanwhile, governments will also play an additional important role by scaling up the enabling role they can play in mobilising financing for clean energy, the report notes.
4.-The money is there
A trillion dollars may sound like an awful lot, says Granoff, but there is no global shortage of global capital. Instead, the challenge is to shift incentives to ensure it is unleash in favour of clean energy.
The New Climate Economy group estimates that if low-cost, long-term financing were available for clean energy projects, the cost of clean electricity could be reduced by as much as 20 per cent in developed economies, and 30 per cent in emerging economies.
But in order to unlock this money, the financing system must be re-adjusted to take advantage of the benefits of renewables – their lack of fuel costs, lower operating costs, and flexibility in deployment – while also dealing with the challenges they bring, such as the need for higher grid investment.
“Clean energy is flexible and scalable, it has very low operating costs and often no fuel costs, so it has a bunch of really critical benefits,” says Granoff. “But it also functions differently: the upfront costs are greater, and so the project’s viability is more sensitive to financing costs than fossil fuel power investments. So there’s a bunch of enabling environment issues that have to happen in order to favour that clean energy framework.”
5.- Fossil fuels will have to go
The flip side of the coin, of course, is that while moves are being made to promote and support clean energy, they must also be made to revamp an energy financing structure which until now has heavily benefited fossil fuels.
“It’s not simply about scaling up clean energy investment,” observes Granoff. “If we want the incentives to favour clean energy, we have to incentivising and stop subsidising through public financing high carbon energy systems. We need to be phasing out the financing of carbon energy systems, except in exceptional circumstances where there is an absolutely critical development rational without any viable alternative.
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/shutterstock_2834504271-e1461003236926.jpg
134
200
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-04-18 13:14:482016-08-21 20:34:31Five reasons Development Banks hold the key to renewable energy investment boomOPEC member Iran and India – one of Asia’s fastest growing source of energy demand – signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to develop oil and gas projects, including the Farzad B gas field, Iranian Petroleum Minister Bijan Zangeneh told the Iran-India business conference held at Teheran Chamber of Commerce Saturday, Shana – a media linked to Iran’s Ministry of Petroleum – reported Sunday. “We had thorough conversations today and signed an MoU for development of Farzad B gas field, refinery cooperation, export of crude oil and petroleum products and mutual cooperation in petrochemical industry,” Zangeneh said.
The MoU was signed during a visit to Teheran by Indian Petroleum and Natural Gas Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, who, the Ministry said on its website April 7, hoped to engage “with the Iranian political leadership to work with them, particularly in the hydrocarbon, petrochemicals and fertilizers sectors for mutual benefits, including strengthening of India’s energy security.” According to Zangeneh, Indian investors should consider the development of the Farzad B project as a top priority, adding that “we hope decisions regarding the project’s development will be made before 2017.”
He said the Farzad B gas field can produce 3 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of natural gas, but Iran has signed an MoU with Indian developers for the production of 1 Bcf/d of natural gas from the field. A consortium comprising three Indian companies, including ONGC Videsh Ltd. and Oil India Ltd., made a gas discovery at the offshore Farzad B field in 2008.
Meanwhile, Zangeneh said both nations have agreed to set up major joint ventures and enhance their strategic relations, adding that “we hope Iranian and Indian companies reach out to each other and, under the new circumstances, the two countries boost their investments.” Indian companies have indicated to Zangeneh their interests to purchase natural gas from Iran to feed their petrochemical and other energy-consuming industries, Shana reported. On its part, Iran could deliver gas to Indian customers in Chabahar or any other ports where the Indians are willing to invest to feed methanol, steel and aluminium plants.
Separately, shareholders of Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) Pipeline Company Limited signed an agreement in Ashgabat, Turkmenistan Thursday to invest $200 million in the TAPI natural gas pipeline. According to the Asian Development Bank (ADB), the investment includes funds for detailed engineering and route surveys, environmental and social safeguard studies, and procurement and financing activities, to enable a final investment decision, after which construction can begin. Construction is estimated to take up to 3 years.
According to Pakistan’s Minister of State for Petroleum and Natural Resources Jam Kamal Khan, TAPI would supply 487.3 billion cubic feet (Bcf) or 13.8 billion cubic meters (Bcm) of gas from Turkmenistan to meet the South Asian country’s growing energy demand, Indian daily The Economic Times reported Friday. Sean O’ Sullivan, ADB’s Director General of Central and West Asia Department, said the gas pipeline will unlock economic opportunities and diversify the energy market for Turkmenistan and enhance energy security for the region.
Ground breaking of the 1,127 mile (1,814 kilometer) -long TAPI pipeline, a project seeking to ease energy shortages in South Asia, was carried out in December 2015 year in Turkmenistan. The pipeline will be equipped to transport 3.2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) or 90 million standard cubic meters a day (MMscm/d) gas for 30 years, with India and Pakistan originally expected to receive 1.3 Bscf/d (38 MMscm/d) each, while the remaining 494.4 million standard cubic feet per day (MMscf/d) or 14 MMscm/d was to be supplied to Afghanistan.
So far, Turkmenistan is the only country that has started work to build its section of the TAPI pipeline. The pipeline will travel 480 miles (773 kilometers) through Afghanistan and 514 miles (827 kilometers) in Pakistan before ending at Fazilka in Punjab, India, The Economic Times said.
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/shutterstock_2949286131-e1460413962157.jpg
150
200
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-04-11 17:34:132016-08-21 20:59:01Iran, India Sign MoU to Develop Oil, Gas ProjectsRice University researchers have developed a technique to model oil and gas formations to determine the cause of souring. Credit: Jason Gaspar/Alvarez Lab
In at least one—and probably many—oil and gas drilling operations, the use of biocides to prevent the souring of hydrocarbons wastes money and creates an unnecessary environmental burden, according to researchers at Rice University.
The Rice lab of environmental engineer Pedro Alvarez reported that soured hydrocarbons found in the Bakken Formation underneath the Northwest United States and Canada are caused by primarily geochemical reactions rather than microbial ones; the researchers questioned the need to pump costly biocides into the well to kill sulfide-producing microbes.
The team’s finding offers a way to cut costs at wellheads where biocides may be unnecessary while keeping them out of the environment, where they may promote the development of biocide-resistant bacteria, Alvarez said.
The research appears in the American Chemical Society journal Environment Science and Technology Letters.
Soured hydrocarbons are those with high concentrations of hydrogen sulfide gas. The hydrogen sulfide gives oil and natural gas the smell of rotten eggs, can be toxic to breathe and is highly corrosive. For this reason, the gas has to be removed from crude oil before it can be transported or refined.
Curtailing the use of biocides when the source of souring is not from microbes would reduce operation costs and mitigate potential impacts to microbial ecosystems, Alvarez said.
The Rice-led team set out to solve a long-standing puzzle over what in an individual formation makes hydrocarbons go sour. Either microbial life or the geochemical environment can catalyze the reaction, but engineers are rarely able to determine which is happening.
Alvarez and his co-authors developed an improved map of temperatures to about 2 miles below the surface in eight representative Bakken Formation fracture wells. They showed that downhole temperatures in the formation are equal to or exceed the upper known temperature limit—252 degrees Fahrenheit—for microorganisms’ survival.
The team also analyzed isotopes of sulfur isolated from hydrogen sulfide taken from the wells. They found all of the isotopes tested suggested geochemical origins. Water samples from the same wells failed to yield DNA concentrations that would indicate the presence of microorganisms.
“The combination of temperature, sulfur isotope and microbial analyses makes scientific, environmental and financial sense,” said Jason Gaspar, a Rice graduate student and lead author of the paper. “Using our method, we could characterize hydrogen sulfide for dozens of wells in a given shale play for less than the cost of adding biocide to one well alone.”
More information: Jason Gaspar et al. Biogenic versus Thermogenic H S Source Determination in Bakken Wells: Considerations for Biocide Application , Environmental Science & Technology Letters (2016). DOI: 10.1021/acs.estlett.6b00075
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/4-environmenta1-e1459805109530.jpg
102
200
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-04-04 15:30:482016-08-21 21:03:34Environmental engineers develop method to ID cause of sour hydrocarbons in wellsOil markets will probably balance by the end of next year, with prices rising in the medium term, according to Sultan Al Jaber, the new head of Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.
Prices, which have swung between highs of about $42 a barrel and lows of about $27 this year, will continue to be volatile in the short term, Al Jaber said in an interview with Abu Dhabi dailies The National and Al Ittihad.
Al Jaber, named the company’s chief executive officer last month, expects “to see a slow but upwards improvement in prices in the medium term,” according to a transcript of his comments published in The National. “2016 and 2017 will be the years during which markets will start to rebalance the gap between demand and supply.”
Abu Dhabi, the capital of the United Arab Emirates, holds about 6 percent of the world’s oil reserves. The U.A.E., a member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, is among at least a dozen states that have said they’ll meet in Doha, Qatar, on April 17 to discuss a potential freeze in oil output to stabilize prices. European benchmark Brent crude slipped 0.7 percent to $38.41 a barrel as of 9:34 a.m. in London.
Adnoc, as the state company is known, is taking “into consideration prevailing market conditions” as it works toward a target to boost production capacity to 3.5 million barrels a day, Al Jaber said, without specifying the date when that level would be reached. The company is maintaining its current production level and aims to “remain a reliable supplier.”
The U.A.E. pumped about 2.89 million barrels a day last month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Abu Dhabi had been seeking to boost capacity to 3.5 million barrels daily by the end of 2017, while company officials have said the target may not beachieved until 2019.
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/shutterstock_275170592-baja-e1459800451573.jpg
261
400
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-04-04 15:22:402016-08-21 21:04:21Abu Dhabi’s Oil Chief Sees Crude Market Balancing by End of 2017Oil prices edged up in Asia on Monday, recovering slightly from last week s decline, but analysts said traders would likely delay any big moves until next month s meeting of key producers.
Hopes for an agreement between Russia, Saudi Arabia and other crude giants to at least freeze output sent both main contracts racing above $40 earlier this month, helped by a dive in the strength of the dollar.
At around 0620 GMT US benchmark West Texas Intermediate was up 50 cents, or 1.27 percent, to $39.96. Brent was up 45 cents, or 1.11 percent, at $40.89.
Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and key non-members led by Russia are due to discuss a proposed output freeze at a meeting in Doha on April 17.
Bernard Aw at IG Markets told AFP a dip in the number of US oil rigs in operation provided some buying incentives, although business had been slim due to the long Easter break across most world markets.
However, he warned that “the fundamental picture of oil is still a little bit bearish” owing to a global supply glut and a slowdown in the global economy, particularly China.
“Everything hinges on the meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC producers,” Aw said. “If it takes place and they come to some agreement of a production freeze, we could see some gains well beyond $40.”
Qatar s energy minister Mohammed al-Sada, who also serves as OPEC president, earlier said the initiative was backed by 15 countries accounting for 73 percent of worldwide output.
Sanjeev Gupta, who heads the Asia-Pacific oil and gas practice at professional services firm EY, said traders would also be looking at upcoming US and Chinese economic data for direction.
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/shutterstock_378249955-e1459210335169.jpg
130
200
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-03-28 18:13:532016-08-21 21:04:59Oil prices edge up on lower US rig numbersEven as U.S. oil production started to slide in the second half of 2015, the downside risks to oil prices continued to dominate.
In the third quarter, broad-based manufacturing softness and financial market turmoil threatened to derail growth in developed markets, bringing some focus back to the demand side of the ledger. Annual oil demand growth proceeded to drop off in the fourth quarter from above 2 percent to 1.2 percent with acute cracks in China and advanced economies, seemingly confirming analysts’ worst fears.
But Credit Suisse Group AG Global Energy Economist Jan Stuart concludes that oil demand “growth appears to be re-accelerating” in 2016, with the recent bout of softness attributable to a warm winter, subdued activity in resource-extracting industries, and persistent weakness in select sputtering emerging markets like Russia and Brazil.
“Oil demand growth is alive and well,” he writes in a recent note. “We think that with hindsight this winter will look like a dip in an otherwise still unfolding fairly strong growth trend that is partly fueled by the ongoing economic recovery of in North America and Europe and longer standing trends across key emerging market economies.”
While concerns about global growth linger, demand for crude doesn’t match the narrative that a worldwide recession is imminent. In particular, for the world’s two largest economies, the U.S. and China, Stuart notes that oil demand growth has rebounded following a sluggish fourth quarter.
“While on balance oil demand growth appears relatively sluggish still in the first quarter; February data either improved on January (e.g. Brazil, the U.S.); or extended strong growth (e.g. India, South Korea), while in China demand appeared to have rebounded as well,” he writes.
Demand for oil has been increasingly attributable to passenger vehicles rather than its use as an input in the production process, as the middle classes in emerging markets swell.
In light of this, Credit Suisse anticipates that crude demand will keep running hotter than industrial production:
“We forecast modestly re-accelerating demand growth over the course of this year, so long as a recession continues to be avoided,” asserts Stuart. “We project in fact that oil demand should continue to outperform historic correlations with industrial production.”
This outlook for demand bolsters the analyst’s confidence that oil prices could hit $50 per barrel in May.
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Captura-de-pantalla-2016-03-28-a-las-17.22.331-e1459207449258.png
271
400
admin
https://nrgibroker.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/nrgibroker-300x96.png
admin2016-03-28 17:26:042016-08-21 21:07:00Credit Suisse: The Death of Oil Demand has been Greatly Exaggerated
Scroll to top