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Mexico Spent About $1.26 billion on 2018 Oil Hedges

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From Oil&Gas People / 1 de Diciembre de 2017

 

Mexico spent some 24.1 billion pesos ($1.26 billion) on contracts to hedge its 2018 oil exports, Finance Ministry Chief Economist Luis Madrazo said on Tuesday, part of government’s efforts to stabilize its budget.

Madrazo did not specify the number of barrels of export production that Mexico had hedged with derivatives contracts nor did he detail the average price per barrel of put options that the government has purchased.

In September, the Finance Ministry proposed a 2018 budget that based expected oil export revenue on an estimate of $46 per barrel. Members of Congress increased that estimate to $48.5 per barrel earlier this month as global oil prices rose.

For more than a decade, Mexico’s government has paid for a hedge every year in a bid to guarantee its revenues from oil exports by state company Pemex. The program is seen as the world’s top sovereign derivatives trade.

Last year, the government bought put options at an average price of $38 per barrel to cover 250 million barrels of crude at a cost of $1.03 billion and underpin the 2017 budget, which was based on an average price of $42 per barrel.

The government set aside $4 a barrel from a special fund to make up the difference between its put options and the budgeted price.

This year, Mexico is on track to not see any income from its oil hedge as prices for Mexican crude are currently near $54 per barrel, well above the put options. In 2016, Mexico saw a $2.65 billion payout from its oil hedge.

Mexico hedges its crude every year and deals are closely watched by the market since the trades are big enough to affect prices. The program is a longstanding part of the country’s strategy for safeguarding oil revenues from market volatility.

Mexico used to receive about one-third of federal revenues from oil sales, but it now funds less than one-fifth of the budget with oil sales after the collapse crude prices in late 2014 and a decline in production.

 

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From Oil&Gas People / 1 de Diciembre de 2017

 

Brent Oil Halts Gain near $50 as Market Eyes November OPEC Deal

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Oil halted gains after rising above $50 a barrel in London for the first time in more than three weeks, as plans by some OPEC members to boost output raised doubts the group will be able to implement its production cut in November.

Brent futures fell 0.4 percent in London after advancing 6.9 percent last week. While OPEC outlined an accord to reduce production by as much as 750,000 barrels a day, its third-largest member Iran wants to increase exports to 2.35 million barrels a day in the coming months, state news agency IRNA reported. The OPEC member is currently shipping 2.2 million barrels a day. Rigs targeting crude in the U.S. rose a fifth consecutive week to the highest level since February, Baker Hughes Inc. said on its website Friday.

Oil capped the biggest monthly gain since April after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to trim supply for the first time in eight years. While quotas will be decided at the group’s official meeting in November, Nigeria and Iran have said they are exempt and Iraq has said it doesn’t accept OPEC’s estimates of its production levels. Russia boosted output last month to a post-Soviet record.

“Oil will probably trade between $45 and $50 a barrel as we move into November and see what type of deal is done,” said Angus Nicholson, a market analyst in Melbourne at IG Ltd. “There are questions about how OPEC is going to police the new output limits and how they will keep members in line if they breach their production ceiling.”

Brent for December settlement, which became the front-month contract Monday following the expiry of November futures last week, was 5 cents lower at $50.14 a barrel at 8:17 a.m. on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The November contract fell 18 cents to expire at $49.06 on Friday, while the December contract closed at $50.19. The global benchmark traded at a $1.47 premium to December West Texas Intermediate.

WTI for November delivery was down 17 cents at $48.07 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose 41 cents to $48.24 on Friday, the highest close since Aug. 19. Total volume traded was about 42 percent below the 100-day average. Prices rose 7.9 percent in September.

For a story on OPEC challenges after the output agreement, click here.

U.S. drillers added seven rigs during the week ended Sept. 30, increasing the count to 425, according to Baker Hughes. The U.S. is pumping at a rate of 8.5 million barrels a day, weekly data from the Energy Information Administration show.

 

Oil-market news:

Russian output climbed to 11.11 million barrels a day in September, according to data from the Energy Ministry’s CDU-TEK unit. Investors increased their long position in WTI by 24,131 futures and options, or 8.1 percent, during the week ended Sept. 27, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Bets on falling prices dropped.

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